WY2016 Storm 54

A storm unfolds like a story. Scroll down for the latest because I hate inserting the updates on the top.

I. Welcome, Storm 54!

Storm 54 is a Southwesterly strong to major storm for the US West Coast. It has a Pacific Northwest section, but the California section is really its own storm system, or becoming such — so that section is what I refer to as Storm 54. This new weather regime has been building in strength over the last seven days, and the groundwork has been laid for very good bona-fide El Niño storm for the heart of California.

First Wave – Friday, 160304, 1900 PSTStorm-54-CenCal-1stWave-1900.jpg

Second Wave – Saturday, 160305, 0100 PSTStorm-54-2nd-Wave-160305-0050.jpg

Third Wave – Saturday, 160305, 0700 PSTStorm-54-3rd-Wave-160305-0700.jpg

Fourth Wave – Saturday, 160305, 1430 PSTStorm-54-4th-Wave.jpg

Saturday, 160305, 1630 PST
The fourth wave is here – this is SUPPOSED to begin an epic non-stop 12 hours of rain. UPDATE: Maybe in places 8 hours of nonstop rain at most, not 12. That was a “wish-cast.”Storm-54---4th-Wave-2.jpg

Sunday, 160306, 0100 PST
The fifth wave is just finishing up. It is the final wave of this storm and contains the front itself. All that remains after is a few instability showers, but the air behind the front is dry. The atmospheric river has now moved east. Storm-54-5th-Wave.jpg

Jet stream, Sunday, 160306, 0100 PST: The jet stream split point is at San Francisco, and is forecast to move east, which will allow much stronger storm activity inland. This is a beautiful jet stream for bringing California a lot of water – powerful and running low at the subtropical latitudes, and not breaking up until reaching land. Jet-Stream-160306-0100PST.jpg

Sunday, 160306, 0800 PST: Storm 54 clears out and dissipatesStorm54-clearingOut-160306-0820.jpg

II. Storm 54 Weather Events

Saturday, 160305

SACRAMENTO VALLEY WINDS
1. RED BLUFF .............GUSTS TO 52 MPH AT  120 PM
2. OROVILLE...............GUSTS TO 53 MPH AT  422 PM
3. REDDING................GUSTS TO 51 MPH AT  311 PM
4. BEALE AIR FORCE BASE...GUSTS TO 76 MPH AT 1009 PM
5. MARYSVILLE.............GUSTS TO 52 MPH AT  937 PM
6. CHICO..................GUSTS TO 67 MPH AT  954 PM
7. SACRAMENTO INT.........GUSTS TO 53 MPH AT  911 PM
8. SACRAMENTO EXEC........GUSTS TO 43 MPH AT  522 PM
9. MC CLELLAN.............GUSTS TO 49 MPH AT  410 PM
10.STOCKTON...............GUSTS TO 46 MPH AT  937 PM
NEW RAINFALL RECORDS
1. SACRAMENTO ......... 1.53" (2016) - Old record: 1.44" (1987)
2. KLAMATH FALLS, OR... 0.71" (2016) - Old record: 0.51" (1978)
3. MONTAGUE, CA........ 0.71" (2016) - Old record: 0.45" (1960)

2000 PST: cloudbursts moving across Bay Area, rain rates of 2″/hr.

2330 PST: wind gust of 75 MPH at Grapevine Peak – near Interstate 5. –NWS Hanford

Water rescue: A girl fell through a snowhole into freezing water … see story here… California-girl-rescued-by-snowshoers-after-falling-into-hole    Too much new snow covering everything up to detect hazards.

Sunday, 160306

0030 PST: Corralitos Creek in Freedom, CA., at flood stage. –NWS Bay Area

0030 PST: Soquel Creek in Soquel is above flood stage. –NWS Bay Area

0030 PST: Numerous trees down in Mariposa County –NWS Hanford

0030 PST: Street flooding in Clovis, CA. after .31″ inch downpour –NWS Hanford

0030 PST: 2.14″ of rain in past 6 hours at Shaver Lake, CA. –NWS Hanford

0124 PST: Wawona, in Yosemite National Park, received 3.07 inches of rain in the last 12 hours. –NWS Hanford

0130 PST: high rate of snowfall in Mono County observed at US 395 and CA 203. –NWS Reno

0200 PST: snow accumulation on North Sierra highways I-80, US 50, CA 89, NV 267. Chains may be required. –NWS Reno

0300 PST: “large part of the storm” clearing out of Bay Area – radar

0300 PST: heavy rain moving into LA Basin – radar

0700 PST: image: overnight Sierra lightning behind the front –NWS HanfordThundersnow.jpg

0700 PST: 10-22″ new snow at China Peak Ski Resort, Fresno County, CA –China Peak

0700 PST: 44-66″ new snow at Mammoth Mountain Ski Area, Mono County, CA –Mammoth Mtn

0700 PST: 24-hr precip totals, central Sierra –NWS Hanford24-hr-rainfall-totals-CenCal.jpg

0700 PST: 24-hr precip totals, inland valleys CenCal –NWS Hanford24-hr-rainfall-totals-1.jpg

Snow totals from Storm 54… more snow on the way! Cc5IBqhW4AIpdbX.jpg

0700 PST: Image of this storm heading out and next storm heading in from west –NWS SacramentoCc3dnbDUcAAP9A4.jpg

0800 PST: Water rescue in LA area… no further details…

0900 PST: First lady Nancy Reagan dies. Details… First Lady Nancy Reagan Dies at 94.

III. Advisories, Watches & Warnings of Storm 54

AWW Map – Saturday, 160305 1430 PSTStorm-54-AWWs-160305-1430.jpg

  1. Winter Storm Warning. Saturday 160305: Snow level 8,000 feet, becoming heavy. Sunday 160306: Snow level 4,000 feet. Snow heavy at times. Monday 160307: Snow level 4,000, heavy at times.
  2. High Wind Warning. Saturday 160305: Afternoon through evening high southerly winds. Sacramento Valley, sustained 35-40 MPH, gusts 55-60 MPH.
  3. Wind Advisory. Saturday 160305: Afternoon through evening strong southerly winds. San Joaquin Valley sustained 15-30 MPH. North San Joaquin Valley: sustained 25-35 MPH.
  4. Flash Flood Watch. Saturday 160305: evening. Sunday 160306: all day. Monday 160307: until afternoon.
  5. Winter Storm Watch. Sunday 160306: from morning, snow level 5500 feet. Monday 160307: until afternoon, snow level 3500. [CANCELLED QUICKLY]
  6. Hazardous Weather Outlook. Central and Southern San Joaquin Valley: Saturday, Sunday and Monday: gusty winds and thunderstorms. Sierra Foothills: Saturday evening and Monday afternoon: thunderstorms and heavy rain. [Kern County Mountains: Saturday, 160305 through Thursday, 160310: Gusty winds to 50 MPH. CANCELLED QUICKLY]
  7. High Surf Advisory. Sunday 160306 PM Mostly 10-15 foot waves. Monday 160307 from AM, Tuesday 160308 until AM – Mostly 15-22 foot waves (very damaging). West facing beaches. Advisory might be elevated to warning.  Pounding surf plus high winds will elevate water level and caused moderate coastal flooding.
  8. High Wind Warning– Bright orange near Sacramento. Saturday, 160305, about 1600-2100 PST: Sustained winds MPH 25-35 Gusts 50-60 as front moves through.
  9. Flash Flood Watch – Central Coast, Bay Area, Northern Coast Range. Saturday, 160305, 1400-2200 PST. Heavy rains, high winds, high surf, flooding as front moves through.
  10. FLOOD WARNING – Navarro River. Saturday, 160305, late PM: Flood Stage, 23′. Sunday, 160306 AM: Crest, near 25′.  Previous flood on this stream: 25.6′, 100120.
  11. Special Weather Statement – near Sacramento – strong thunderstorms in lower Sacramento Valley, Delta, Upper San Joaquin Valley, Saturday 160305 at 1530 PST.
  12. Wind Advisory extended until Sunday, 160306, 7:00 am  – Central Sierra foothills (Mariposa, Oakhurst, Prather)
  13. Flash Flood Warning until Sunday, 160306, 6:00 am – HIGHLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. Butte Fire burn area, extreme southern Amador County stretch of Highway 26 and roads connecting: Watch out for rock and debris flows, and large amounts of water, coming across roads.

AWW Map – Saturday, 160305, 0100 PSTScreen Shot 2016-03-05 at 01.08.46 AM.png

IV. Precipitation Totals

Storm 54. (Major Storm 3) 160304-06. A classic big-time
El Niño with 5 precipitation waves, embedded lightning,
and a very wet atmospheric river. The split in
the jet stream over California probably prevented it
from being a super-major. Its snow level was about 6,000 feet.

Storm 54 (Major Storm 3) left 99.78 inches of water on the 65 sampler cities, about 1.34 inches per city. It is the to date the 2nd wettest storm of the year.

Storm 054 Fri Sat Sun
Major 003 160304 160305 160306 Totals
Crescent City 0.15 1.80 1.95
Eureka 0.09 1.74 1.83
Fortuna 0.05 1.96 2.01
Laytonville 0.05 2.69 2.74
Mendocino 0.18 1.72 1.9
Ukiah 0.08 2.63 2.71
Sebastopol 0.31 2.49 0.07 2.87
Calistoga 0.61 3.07 0.11 3.79
Grants Pass 0.02 2.06 0.11 2.19
Yreka 0 0.91 0 0.91
Redding 0.24 1.46 0 1.7
Red Bluff 0.30 1.61 0.06 1.97
Chiloquin OR 0 0.50 0.51 1.01
Alturas 0.02 0.11 0.14 0.27
Susanville 0.26 0.59 0.07 0.92
Reno 0.04 0.03 0.25 0.32
Ely NV 0 0 0.28 0.28
Winnemucca 0 0.03 0.04 0.07
Nevada City 2.02 3.97 1.05 7.04
Yuba City 0.30 5.64 0.10 6.04
Sacramento 0.67 1.36 0.02 2.05
West Point 0.55 1.14 0.98 2.67
Twain-Harte 0.72 2.15 0.78 3.65
Oakland 0.24 1.44 0 1.68
San Francisco 0.58 1.50 0.06 2.14
Boulder Creek 0.94 4.66 0.17 5.77
Monterey 0.32 1.93 0.15 2.4
Big Sur 0.46 1.23 0.05 1.74
San Jose 0.28 1.17 0.11 1.56
Hollister 0.34 1.23 0.14 1.71
Merced 0.93 0.85 0.17 1.95
Mpsa County 0.70 1.94 1.93 4.57
Oakhurst 0.72 2.55 1.35 4.62
Fresno 0.24 0.66 0.32 1.22
Hanford 0.12 0.22 0.22 0.56
Squaw Valley 0.24 1.11 0.71 2.06
Visalia 0.06 0.46 0.26 0.78
Porterville 0.01 0.28 0.31 0.6
Camp Nelson 0.03 0.74 1.24 2.01
Bakersfield 0 0.02 0.13 0.15
Lee Vining 0 0.07 0.76 0.83
Bishop 0 0 0.20 0.2
Mojave 0 0 0.18 0.18
Tehachapi 0 0.04 0.47 0.51
Frazier Park 0 0.12 0.48 0.6
Paso Robles 0.08 1.15 0.17 1.4
San Luis Obispo 0 1.01 0.21 1.22
Lompoc 0.01 0.79 0.10 0.9
Ojai 0 0.45 0.07 0.52
Santa Barbara 0.01 0.81 1.44 2.26
Big Bear Lake 0 0.02 0.16 0.18
Glendale 0 0.04 0.87 0.91
DTWNLA 0 0.01 0.70 0.71
Yucaipa 0 0 0.42 0.42
Idyllwild 0 0 0.47 0.47
Hemet 0 0 0.15 0.15
Catalina 0 0.09 0.56 0.65
San Juan Cap 0 0.07 0.54 0.61
Valley Center 0 0.01 0.37 0.38
San Diego 0 0.01 0.21 0.22
Ensenada 0 0 0.02 0.02
Grand Canyon 0 0 0 0
Sedona 0 0.02 0 0.02
Flagstaff 0 0 0.01 0.01
Tucson 0 0 0 0
TOTALS 12.97 66.36 20.45 99.78
AVERAGES 0.199 1.020 0.346 1.535

 

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